IES - Insight Enterprise Strategy - Dybvig Consulting

Driver-Based Planning as Best Practice

A Literature Search of Performance Management brochures and articles

Summary

  • Using Cognos definitions

    • driver: “An operational cause with a financial effect”

    • planning: “..a strategic prediction of business performance at a summary level…process can be fairly frequent and must be completed quickly.”

    • Budgeting: “..planning distributed to individual areas ..across the business.”

    • Forecasting: ..essentially, a recasting of the budget--perhaps in summarized form--to reflect changing market conditions, strategic plan alterations, error corrections and revised assumptions in the original budget.”

    • Rolling forecast: "To overcome the forecasting wall (i.e., year end), organizations use a rolling forecast with consistent period in each forecast...the single most valuable tool to...identify where changes need to be made in order to maximize profitability and minimize losses."

  • Rolling forecasts is a performance management best practice which is enhanced significantly in conjunction with driver-based planning..  Rolling forecasts are used to:
  •                        
    • overcome the forecasting wall (i.e., year end)
    • reflect changing marketing conditions, strategic plan alterations, error corrections and revised assumptions in the original budget

     

  • Driver-based planning is a performance management best practice because it allows a revised forecast to be quickly translated into a revised plan.  A driver-based plan is, in effect, a descriptive model.

Cognos 8 Planning Overview:

  • “Cognos 8 Planning supports best practices such as driver-based planning and rolling forecasts, and serves as the cornerstone for enterprise-wide performance management. “
    (See IBM Cognos 8 Planning)

Applix/Player/BBRT brochure, Feb 2007 “Developing Driver-Based Budgeting and Planning”

  • "Development of a driver-based plan is a key first step toward a rolling forecast

  • The first of the 7 steps to rolling forecasts is driver-based approaches. There are three types of driver-based analysis: 1) Top line (i.e., revenue) drivers, expense drivers (allocations explicit) and 3) balance sheet drivers. Driver-based system should predict p/l and balance sheet.

    Expense drivers can also be used to allocate costs normally viewed as fixed, e.g. facilities. Specifically: “In many cases you can benefit from grouping costs that track with the same driver. As an example, let’s review headcount driven costs. Most companies would include salary and benefits costs in this category, but what else should be included? Most companies issue each employee a workspace, so a portion of facility costs should be included...”

  • “Summary: Shifting from traditional budgeting to a driver-based approach has many advantages. It links key performance indicators to financials in a dynamic way. Secondly, it encourages cross-functional managers to enter a dialog rather than sandbag hoping to negotiate a favorable target for their department. It also sets up scenario modeling and the development of multiple alternatives to reach your desired outcomes. Finally, it enhances your focus on the key factors that drive your business and how they integrate with the other parts of the business.

Cognos brochure, October 2008, “Best-Practice Budgeting: The first Step in your Performance Management Journey,”

  • "Cognos solutions tie budgets to business drivers instead of outcomes.”

  • “Budget develops understanding of business drivers and constraints…perhaps the least-recognized reason for preparing a budget..i.e., in order to succeed, an organization must build a clear view of the inter-relationships that drive and constrain business performance….Another strategy is to require budget contributors to use drivers key to their business…

  • "For most purposes there are two types of costs: centrally allocated costs and volume x rate costs….

Applix/Player/BBRT brochure, August, 2006 "Managing Through Change: The Power of Rolling Forecasts"

  • "The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails."  William Arthur Ward

  • "To overcome the forecasting wall (i.e., year end), organizations use a rolling forecast with  consistent period in each forecast...The process goal is coordination of the different parts of the organization using the latest available estimates of what is likely to occur.

  • "Summary: Rolling forecasting is a strategic opportunity, not an onerous task. Implemented correctly, rolling forecasts can be the single most valuable tool to "adjusting those sails," i.e., identifying where changes need to be made in order to maximize profitability and minimize losses."

Cognos/Player/BBRT/APOQC brochure, September, 2008 “10 Best practices to planning, budgeting and forecasting:”

  • #8 Use your financial performance management systems to understand facts as well as “cause and effect” relationships

SAP Brochure:

  • “The objective of driver-based planning is simple enough — to provide a more accurate picture of expected future business performance by planning and monitoring the key operational activities that drive these results. However, achieving this objective can require you to reconsider the way you approach planning. In driver-based planning, you do not start the planning process with the monetary values for the period, such as dollars per line of business. Instead you start with the drivers in sales and production, such as the sales quantities and production quantities, and use these to calculate how much work you’ll need to put in to meet your targets.”

ALG brochure, “Driver-based budgeting, The proven route to faster budgeting and more-frequent re-forecasting,” paraphrased:

  • Driver-based budgeting (DBB) where non-financial drivers like sales volumes and resource consumption rates are used to project line item expenses. First, model resources to meet demand, then, capacitate the demands and, finally, cost them. Unlike activity-based budgeting, DBB has no activity layer and drivers are based on experience. DBB relies on being able to write rules that cross departments and can be calculated based on demand.

LongView Planning brochure:

  • #1 Benefit listed is Gain better understanding of financial and non-financial business performance drivers. Continuing:

  • “An essential element of an effective planning process is the ability to model financial outcomes and the business parameters and activities that ultimately drive those outcomes. With Longview, this modeling can be either bottom-up (i.e., vary the drivers to see what outcomes are produced) or top-down (i.e., choose a desired outcome and see how the drivers need to perform to achieve it).

Alight white paper, “Driver-based Planning for Forecasting and Budgeting” “

  • “Driver-based planning is a best practice methodology where financial plans are structured using models of underlying business activities….It incorporates a series of step-by-step sub-models within an over-all financial planning system that integrate input assumptions about activity levels that drive revenues, variable headcount and expenses, and capital that roll up to financial statements for a company. ..

  •  rolling forecasts with tight turnaround cycles are now feasible and efficient…when using a driver model, it’s easy to identify and manage the most important, financially sensitive drivers in the business .. true causal analysis of variances is now possible.”

Oracle Hyperion Planning Data Sheet

  • “With driver-based planning capabilities, nonfinancial users can enter business and operational drivers, while sophisticated business rules will then calculate their financial impact. By expanding financial planning into operational planning, you can attain more-accurate forecasts, and consequently, better adapt to market changes “

BusinessObjects Product Overview

  • "While the planning process is a cornerstone for controlling your operations, it is often a time-consuming endeavor without...best-of-class tools to help identify those critical business drivers."

  • "Paramount to your success is the ability to isolate, quantify, project and analyze the effect of many factors-or drivers-...on your income."