driver: “An operational
cause with a financial effect”
planning: “..a strategic
prediction of business performance at a summary
level…process can be fairly frequent and must be
completed quickly.”
Budgeting: “..planning
distributed to individual areas ..across the
business.”
Forecasting:
..essentially, a recasting of the
budget--perhaps in summarized form--to reflect
changing market conditions, strategic plan
alterations, error corrections and revised
assumptions in the original budget.”
Rolling forecast: "To
overcome the forecasting wall (i.e., year
end), organizations use a rolling forecast
with consistent period in each
forecast...the single most valuable tool
to...identify where changes need to be made
in order to maximize profitability and
minimize losses."
Rolling forecasts is a performance management
best practice which is enhanced significantly in
conjunction with driver-based planning..
Rolling forecasts are used to:
overcome the forecasting wall (i.e., year
end)
reflect changing marketing conditions,
strategic plan alterations, error corrections
and revised assumptions in the original budget
Driver-based planning is a performance
management best practice because it allows a revised
forecast to be quickly translated into a revised
plan. A driver-based plan is, in effect, a
descriptive model.
IES
Benefits, given driver-based planning's current
limitations
The best practice of rolling forecasts is
limited to only those companies who have adopted
driver- based planning.
IES creates a driver-based plan for ALL
companies whether their current planning is
driver-based or not. Thus, ALL companies can
immediately adopt the rolling forecast best
practice
All current planning models are descriptive
(See Types of Models). Thus, there is no ability to
determine what the right thing to do is.
IES is normative and, thus, determines the
right thing to do. It maximizes profit by
aligning sales and marketing
expenditures with the most profitable
forecast the plan’s resources can achieve.
Profit improvements of 5-10% or more are
reasonable expectations
Many costs have no or questionable drivers; therefore
they must be allocated,For example, seeCAMI-I, The Closed Loop
or Anderson and
Kaplan, Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing.
IES integrates them into the same model and requires
no allocation
All planning processes treat forecasting, capacity
planning and budgeting as separate, sequential
activities.
IES treats them simultaneously and optimally
(See Palladium)
In addition, IES Benefits include:
Is easy to use because it is a simple, non-disruptive
extension to your current planning and budgeting
process. Further, if your budgeting and planning process
is already driver-based, the data can be used to create
the IES model, simplifying the model build process (See
Time Driven
and CAM I:
Closed Loop
Identifies least and most profitable customers,
channels, brands, products, business partners- in any
combination
Applies to all plans and budgets whether physical
(e.g., manufacturing) or non physical (e.g., financial
services)
Is updated continually as competitive, economic ,
industry and other circumstances