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S&OIS and, thus, its most profitable forecast is always up to date

It is important to remember for financial planning purposes,the S&OIS is modeled at the firm’s income statement’s line item detail. Thus, it is actionable at that level of detail.

This is a very important consideration when compared with the traditional, budgeted income statement’s updates for which there is little actionable. Quoting Accountingtools Budgeted Income Statement article:

“Budgeted financial statements are usually limited to a summary-level income statement and balance sheet, and are compiled within the budget model.”

 

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Continuing, the S&OIS is updated when a new forecast is required. There are three S&OIS scenarios that require a new forecast:

  1. Quarterly: Update required to some of S&OIS’s response functions after quarterly variance analysis

At the end of each quarter, an analysis is made of the demand S&OIS had forecasted for that quarter with that quarter’s actual demand. For those differences deemed significant, the associated response functions are updated. S&OIS then computes a new most profitable forecast for the next 12 months including all the associated income statement’s resources required to make and fulfill the new forecast.

Thus, S&OIS’s  forecast-ed demand for the next quarter is the same as the actual demand, lagged by three months.

  1. Quarterly: A judgement-based forecast for the fourth quarter is added to the current judgement based forecast to ensure S&OIS’s forecast is a rolling forecast
  2. Any time: The judgment-based forecast is updated any time key S&OIS’s model’s assumptions change. For example:
    •  new product’s shipment date slips
    • Economic conditions change
    • Competitive assumptions change
    • New production equipment doesn’t perform as well as was projected
    • Facilities are damaged by fire, weather, etc.
    • Production equipment breaks down

 

 

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